I know we still have week 10 games to play, so there is definitely room for this bracket to change substantially, and I did not do all the math but relied heavily on the calpreps power rankings.
But if I read the selection rules properly, teams finishing first in league will get first shot at being seeded and I only foresee 4 teams in Division 11 finishing first in their leagues.
They are:
the Arroyo Knights (10-0) of El Monte from the Mission Valley League,
the Covina Colts (7-2, 3-1) from the Valle Vista League,
the Katella Knights (8-1, 4-0) of Anaheim from the Orange League, and
the Coachella Valley Arabs (7-2, 4-0), of Thermal, from the De Anza League.
After that, I simply took the calpreps power rankings plus the projected finishes of teams after week 10 games and came up with this:
#1 Arroyo of El Monte
hosts
#16 Irvine Vaqueros (5-4, 2-2) of the Pacific Coast League
St. Genevieve Valiants (6-2, 1-1) of the Santa Fe League
travels to
Heritage Christian Warriors (8-0, 2-0) from Northridge, of the Olympic League
Culver City Centaurs (8-1, 3-1) of the Ocean League
host
Crean Lutheran Saints (5-4, 2-1) from Irvine, of the Academy League
#4 Coachella Valley Arabs
host
Jurupa Hills Spartans (5-4, 3-1) from Fontana, of the San Andreas League
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
#3 Katella Knights
host
Pacific Pirates (7-2, 2-2), from San Bernadino, of the Mountain Valley League
Westminster Lions (7-2, 3-1) of the Golden West League
host
Hillcrest Trojans (6-3, 2-2), from Riverside, of the River Valley League
Rancho Mirage Rattlers (6-3, 3-1) of the De Anza League
host
Victor Valley Jackrabbits (4-5, 2-1), from Victorville, of the Desert Sky League
#2 Covina Colts
host
Arcadia Apaches (6-3, 5-1) of the Pacific League
The Arcadia vs Covina match-up might seem odd to some in the first round since they are the #3 & #4 teams in the current CIFss D-11 poll, but because Arcadia is projecting to fall into third place, they may just be one of two lucky 3rd place teams to even make the playoffs.
The playoffs may consist of 4 first place teams, 10 2nd place teams and 2 third place teams with possibly two more eligible third place teams being left out of the playoffs and no room for at large entrants.
Another variable will be how teams pick playoff placement for teams that finished tied in second place in league. League policies could definitely change who is in or out of the playoffs. I made the assumption that teams that tied for 2nd in their leagues would somehow get that designation as a 2nd place team.
Anyhoo, this all gets answered with finality from the CIFss office, I believe, this coming Sunday. Until then, enjoy speculating or telling me how I am wrong.
But if I read the selection rules properly, teams finishing first in league will get first shot at being seeded and I only foresee 4 teams in Division 11 finishing first in their leagues.
They are:
the Arroyo Knights (10-0) of El Monte from the Mission Valley League,
the Covina Colts (7-2, 3-1) from the Valle Vista League,
the Katella Knights (8-1, 4-0) of Anaheim from the Orange League, and
the Coachella Valley Arabs (7-2, 4-0), of Thermal, from the De Anza League.
After that, I simply took the calpreps power rankings plus the projected finishes of teams after week 10 games and came up with this:
#1 Arroyo of El Monte
hosts
#16 Irvine Vaqueros (5-4, 2-2) of the Pacific Coast League
St. Genevieve Valiants (6-2, 1-1) of the Santa Fe League
travels to
Heritage Christian Warriors (8-0, 2-0) from Northridge, of the Olympic League
Culver City Centaurs (8-1, 3-1) of the Ocean League
host
Crean Lutheran Saints (5-4, 2-1) from Irvine, of the Academy League
#4 Coachella Valley Arabs
host
Jurupa Hills Spartans (5-4, 3-1) from Fontana, of the San Andreas League
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
#3 Katella Knights
host
Pacific Pirates (7-2, 2-2), from San Bernadino, of the Mountain Valley League
Westminster Lions (7-2, 3-1) of the Golden West League
host
Hillcrest Trojans (6-3, 2-2), from Riverside, of the River Valley League
Rancho Mirage Rattlers (6-3, 3-1) of the De Anza League
host
Victor Valley Jackrabbits (4-5, 2-1), from Victorville, of the Desert Sky League
#2 Covina Colts
host
Arcadia Apaches (6-3, 5-1) of the Pacific League
The Arcadia vs Covina match-up might seem odd to some in the first round since they are the #3 & #4 teams in the current CIFss D-11 poll, but because Arcadia is projecting to fall into third place, they may just be one of two lucky 3rd place teams to even make the playoffs.
The playoffs may consist of 4 first place teams, 10 2nd place teams and 2 third place teams with possibly two more eligible third place teams being left out of the playoffs and no room for at large entrants.
Another variable will be how teams pick playoff placement for teams that finished tied in second place in league. League policies could definitely change who is in or out of the playoffs. I made the assumption that teams that tied for 2nd in their leagues would somehow get that designation as a 2nd place team.
Anyhoo, this all gets answered with finality from the CIFss office, I believe, this coming Sunday. Until then, enjoy speculating or telling me how I am wrong.
